Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.001232 0.001276 0.001320 0.001369 0.001421 0.001475 0.001535
2025-08-17 0.001149 0.001212 0.001278 0.001354 0.001437 0.001528 0.001634
2025-08-24 0.001084 0.001160 0.001242 0.001338 0.001447 0.001570 0.001720
2025-08-31 0.001055 0.001143 0.001240 0.001357 0.001495 0.001655 0.001858
2025-09-07 0.001022 0.001119 0.001228 0.001361 0.001523 0.001716 0.001970
2025-09-14 0.000986 0.001087 0.001204 0.001349 0.001528 0.001749 0.002047
2025-09-21 0.000951 0.001056 0.001178 0.001332 0.001526 0.001770 0.002109
2025-09-28 0.000924 0.001032 0.001159 0.001322 0.001531 0.001798 0.002180
2025-10-05 0.000883 0.000991 0.001117 0.001281 0.001494 0.001769 0.002170
2025-10-12 0.000861 0.000970 0.001100 0.001271 0.001495 0.001790 0.002230
2025-10-19 0.000846 0.000958 0.001093 0.001272 0.001510 0.001830 0.002321
2025-10-26 0.000827 0.000940 0.001077 0.001261 0.001509 0.001847 0.002378
2025-11-02 0.000817 0.000933 0.001076 0.001269 0.001534 0.001904 0.002502
2025-11-09 0.000800 0.000918 0.001063 0.001262 0.001539 0.001932 0.002583
2025-11-16 0.000783 0.000901 0.001048 0.001251 0.001536 0.001948 0.002647
2025-11-23 0.000779 0.000901 0.001055 0.001269 0.001577 0.002031 0.002831
2025-11-30 0.000770 0.000894 0.001051 0.001274 0.001596 0.002083 0.002967
2025-12-07 0.000755 0.000879 0.001038 0.001263 0.001594 0.002099 0.003038
2025-12-14 0.000739 0.000863 0.001021 0.001248 0.001584 0.002103 0.003088
2025-12-21 0.000727 0.000850 0.001010 0.001239 0.001582 0.002120 0.003163
2025-12-28 0.000704 0.000825 0.000979 0.001203 0.001537 0.002063 0.003087
2026-01-04 0.000693 0.000813 0.000968 0.001194 0.001534 0.002075 0.003150
2026-01-11 0.000685 0.000807 0.000964 0.001194 0.001546 0.002113 0.003273